Undocumented migration in response to climate change
Abstract
Keywords
Full Text:
PDFReferences
Abu M, Codjoe S N A and Sward J. (2014). Climate change and internal migration intentions in the forest-savannah transition zone of Ghana. Population and Environment, 35(4): 341–364. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11111-013-0191-y
Alexander L V, Zhang X, Petersen T C, et al. (2006). Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 111(D5): 2156–2202. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005jd006290
Allison, P D. (1984). Event History Analysis: Regression for Longitudinal Event Data. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE Publications.
Allison, P D. (2002). Missing Data. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE Publications.
Arguez A and Vose R S. (2011). The Definition of the Standard WMO Climate Normal The Key to Deriving Alternative Climate Normals. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92(6): 699–704. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010bams2955.1
Auffhammer M, Hsiang S M, Schlenker W, et al. (2013). Using weather data and climate model output in economic analyses of climate change. Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 7(2): 181–198. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/reep/ret016
Aznar J C, Gloaguen E, Tapsoba D, et al. (2013). Interpolation of monthly mean temperatures using cokriging in spherical coordinates. International Journal of Climatology, 33(3): 758–769. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3468
Barber J S, Murphy S A, Axinn W G, et al. (2000). Discrete-time multilevel hazard analysis. Sociological Methodology, 30(1): 201–235. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/0081-1750.00079
Bates D M. (2010). lme4: Mixed-effects modeling with R. New York: Springer.
Bates D M, Maechler M, Bolker B M, et al. (2014). lme4: Linear mixed-effects models using Eigen and S4. R Package version 1.1–7. Vienna, Austria, Available online at: http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=lme4
Black R, Adger W N, Arnell N W, et al. (2011a). The effect of environmental change on human migration. Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions, 21(Supplement 1): S3–S11. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/.gloenvcha.2011.10.001
Black R, Bennett S R G, Thomas S M, et al. (2011b). Climate change: Migration as adaptation. Nature, 478(7370): 447–449. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/478477a
Bohra-Mishra P, Oppenheimer M and Hsiang S M. (2014). Nonlinear permanent migration response to climatic variations but minimal response to disasters. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111(27): 9780–9785. http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1317166111
Bolstad P. (2012). GIS Fundamentals: A first text on Geographic Information Systems (4th ed.). White Bear Lake, MN: Eider Press.
Boyd R and Ibarraran, M E. (2009). Extreme climate events and adaptation: an exploratory analysis of drought in Mexico. Environment and Development Economics, 14(3): 371–395. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1355770X08004956
Bronaugh D. (2014). R Package Climdex.pcic: PCIC Implementation of Climdex Routines. Victoria, British Columbia, Canada: Pacific Climate Impact Consortium.
Brown S K and Bean F D. (2006). International Migration. In D. Posten & M. Micklin (Eds.), Handbook of population (pp. 347–382). New York: Springer Publishers.
Burke M B, Miguel E, Satyanath S, et al. (2009). Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106(49): 20670–20674. http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0907998106
Carr D L, Lopez A C and Bilsborrow R E. (2009). The population, agriculture, and environment nexus in Latin America: Country-level evidence from the latter half of the twentieth century. Population and Environment, 30(6): 222–246. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11111-009-0090-4
Christensen J H, Kanikicharla K K, Aldrian E, et al. (2013). Climate phenomena and their relevance for future regional climate change. In T F Stocker, D Qin, G K Plattner, et al. (Eds.), Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group 1 to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. New York: Cambridge University Press.
Cohen J H. (2004). The culture of migration in Southern Mexico. Austin, TX: University of Texas Press.
Collins M, Knutti R, Arblaster J, et al. (2013). Long-term climate change: Projections, commitments and irreversibility. In T. F. Stocker, D. Qin, G. K. Plattner, et al. (Eds.), Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group 1 to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. New York: Cambridge University Press.
Conde C, Ferrer R and Orozco S. (2006). Climate chage and climate variability impacts on rainfed agricultural activities and possible adaptation measures. A Mexico case study. Atmosfera, 19(3): 181–194.
Danielson J J and Gesch D B. (2011). Global Multi-resolution Terrain Elevation Data 2010 (GMTED2010): Open-File Report 2011-1073. Reston, Virginia: U.S. Geological Survey.
de Janvry A and Sadoulet E. (2001). Income strategies among rural households in Mexico: The role of off-farm activities. World Development, 29(3): 467–480. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0305-750X(00)00113-3
de Janvry A, Sadoulet E, Davis B, et al. (1997). Determinants of Mexico-U.S. migration: The role of household assets and environmental factors. Berkley, CA: University of California at Berkeley.
ESRI. (2012). ArcGIS Online. Redlands, CA: ESRI, DeLorme Publishing Company, Inc.
Feng S and Oppenheimer M. (2012). Applying statistical models to the climate-migration relationship. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, 109(43): E2915. http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1212226109
Fussell E. (2004). Sources of Mexico's migration stream: Rural, urban, and border migrants to the United States. Social Forces, 82(3): 937–967. http://dx.doi.org/10.1353/sof.2004.0039
Fussell E and Massey D S. (2004). The limits to cumulative causation: International migration from Mexican urban areas. Demography, 41(1): 151–171. http://www.jstor.org/stable/1515217
Gray C L. (2009). Environment, land, and rural out-migration in the
southern Ecuadorian Andes. World Development, 37(2): 457–468. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2008.05.004
Gray C L. (2010). Gender, natural capital, and migration in the southern Ecuadorian Andes. Environment and Planning, 42(3): 678–696. http://dx.doi.org/10.1068/a42170
Gutmann M P and Field V. (2010). Katrina in historical context: environment and migration in the US. Population and Environment, 31(1-3): 3–19. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11111-009-0088-y
Hanson G H and Spilimbergo A. (1999). Illegal immigration, border enforcement, and relative wages: Evidence from apprehensions at the U.S.-Mexico border. American Economic Review, 89(5): 1337–1357. http://www.jstor.org/stable/117062
Hevesi J A, Istok J D and Flint A L. (1992). Precipitation estimation in mountainous terrain using multivariate geostatistics. Part I: Structural-analysis. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 31(7): 661–676. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450(1992)031<0661:PEIMTU>2.0.CO;2
Honaker J, King G and Blackwell M. (2011). Amelia II: A Program for Missing Data. Journal of Statistical Software, 45(7), 1–47.
Howden S M, Soussana J F, Tubiello F N, et al. (2007). Adapting agriculture to climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 104(50): 19691–19696. http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0701890104
Hunter L M, Murray S, and Riosmena F. (2013). Rainfall patterns and U.S. migration from rural Mexico. International Migration Review, 47(4): 874–909.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/imre.12051
INEGI. (2012). Sistema Estatal y Municipal de Bases de Datos. Aguascalientes, Mexico: Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Geografía e Informática.
Kanaiaupuni S M. (2000). Reframing the migration question: An analysis of men, women, and gender in Mexico. Social Forces, 78(4): 1311–1347. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3006176
Kugler T A, Van Riper D C, Manson S M, et al. (2015). Terra Populus: Workflows for integrating and harmonizing geospatial population and environmental data. Journal of Map and Geography Libraries, 11(2): 180–206. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15420353.2015.1036484
Lobell D B, Hammer G L, McLean G, et al. (2013). The critical role of extreme heat for maize production in the United States. Nature Climate Change, 3(5): 497–501. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1832
LoBreglio K. (2004). The border security and immigration improvement act a modern solution to a historic problem. St. John's Law Review, 78(3): 933–963.
Lustig N. (1990). Economic-crisis, adjustment and living standards in Mexico, 1982–85. World Development, 18(10): 1325–1342. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0305-750X(90)90113-C
Macours K, Premand P and Vakis R. (2012). Transfers, diversification and household risk strategies: Experimental evidence with lessons for climate change adaptation. Washington, DC: The World Bank.
Massey D S. (1987). The Ethnosurvey in theory and practice. International Migration Review, 21(4): 1498–1522. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2546522
Massey D S, Alarcon R, Durand J, et al. (1987). Return to Aztlan: The social process of international migration from Western Mexico. Berkely, CA: University of California Press.
Massey D S, Arango J, Hugo G, et al. (1993). Theories of international migration - A review and appraisal. Population and Development Review, 19(3): 431–466. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2938462
Massey D S, Axinn, W G and Ghimire D J. (2010). Environmental change and out-migration: Evidence from Nepal. Population and Environment, 32(2): 109–136. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11111-010-0119-8
Massey D S and Capoferro C. (2004). Measuring undocumented migration. International Migration Review, 38(3): 1075–1102. http://www.jstor.org/stable/27645426
Massey D S, Durand J and Pren K A. (2015). Border enforcement and return migration by documented and undocumented Mexicans. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 41(7): 1015–1040. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1369183X.2014.986079
Massey D S and Espinosa K E. (1997). What's driving Mexico-US migration? A theoretical, empirical, and policy analysis. American Journal of Sociology, 102(4): 939–999. http://www.jstor.org/stable/2782024
Massey D S and Parrado E A. (1998). International migration and business formation in Mexico. Social Science Quarterly, 79(1): 1–20. http://www.jstor.org/stable/42863761
Massey D S, and Riosmena F. (2010). Undocumented migration from
Latin America in an era of rising U.S. enforcement. Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 630(1): 294–321. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0002716210368114
McKenzie D J. (2006). The consumer response to the Mexican peso crisis. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 55(1): 139–172. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/505721
McLeman R A. (2011). Settlement abandonment in the context of global environmental change. Global Environmental Change, 21(Supplement 1), S108–S120.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.08.004
Menne M J, Durre I, Vose R S, et al. (2012). An overview of the global historical climatology network-daily database. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 29(7): 897–910. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-11-00103.1
Monfreda C, Ramankutty N and Foley J. (2008). Farming the planet: 2. Geographic distribution of crop areas, yields, physiological types, and net primary production in the year 2000. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 22(1). http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007GB002947
MPC. (2013a). Integrated Public Use Microdata Series, International: Version 6.2 [Machine-readable database]. Minneapolis, MN: University of Minnesota.
MPC. (2013b). Terra Populus: Beta Version [Machine-readable database]. Minneapolis, MN: Minnesota Population Center, University of Minnesota.
Mueller V, Gray C L and Kosec K. (2014). Heat stress increases long-term human migration in rural Pakistan. Nature Climate Change, 4(3): 182–185. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2103
Nawrotzki R J (2012). The politics of environmental concern: A cross-national analysis. Organization & Environment, 25(3): 286–307. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1086026612456535
Nawrotzki R J and Akeyo S. (2009). Mitigation and adaptation strategies for U.S. agricultural businesses to climate change. International Journal of Climate Change, 1(2): 141–158.
Nawrotzki R J, Diaconu M and Pittman S. (2009). Climate-Change-Induced human migration: The necessity of collective global action. Global Studies Journal, 2(1): 43–57.
Nawrotzki R J, Riosmena F and Hunter L M (2013). Do rainfall deficits predict U.S.-bound migration from rural Mexico? Evidence from the Mexican census. Population Research and Policy Review, 32(1): 129–158. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11113-012-9251-8
Orrenius P M. (2004). The effect of U.S. border enforcement on the crossing behavior of Mexican migrants. In J Durand & D S Massey (Eds.), Crossing the border: Research from the Mexican Migration Project (pp. 281-299). New York: Russell Sage Foundation.
Papademetrious D G and Terrazas A. (2009). Immigrants in the United States and the current economic crisis. Washington, DC: Migration Policy Institute.
Peterson T C and Manton M J. (2008). Monitoring changes in climate extremes — A tale of international collaboration. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 89(9): 1266–1271. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008BAMS2501.1
RCoreTeam. (2015). R: A language and environment for statistical computing. Vienna, Austria: R Foundation for Statistical Computing.
Rogelis M C and Werner M G F. (2013). Spatial Interpolation for Real-Time Rainfall Field Estimation in Areas with Complex Topography. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14(1): 85–104. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-11-0150.1
Ruggles S, King M L, Levison D, et al. (2003). IPUMS-International. Historical Methods, 36(2): 60–65.
Ruiter S and De Graaf N D. (2006). National context, religiosity, and volunteering: Results from 53 countries. American Sociological Review, 71(2): 191–210. http://www.jstor.org/stable/30038985
Saldana-Zorrilla S O and Sandberg K. (2009). Spatial econometric model of natural disaster impacts on human migration in vulnerable regions of Mexico. Disasters, 33(4): 591–607. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-7717.2008.01089.x
Schlenker W and Roberts M J. (2009). Nonlinear temperature effects indicate severe damages to US crop yields under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106(37): 15594–15598. http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0906865106
Schroth G, Laderach P, Dempewolf J, et al. (2009). Towards a climate change adaptation strategy for coffee communities and ecosystems in the Sierra Madre de Chiapas, Mexico. Mitigation and Adaptation
Strategies for Global Change, 14(7): 605–625.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11027-009-9186-5
Singer J D and Willett J B. (2003). Applied longitudinal data analysis: Modeling change and event occurrence. New York: Oxford University Press.
Stahle D W, Cook E R, Villanueva Diaz J, et al. (2009). Early 21st-century drought in Mexico. EOS Transactions of the American Geographical Union, 90(11): 89–100. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009EO110001
Stark O and Bloom D E. (1985). The new economics of labor migration. American Economic Review, 75(2): 173–178. http://www.jstor.org/stable/1805591
Steele F, Diamond I and Amin S. (1996). Immunization uptake in rural Bangladesh: A multilevel analysis. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series a-Statistics in Society, 159(2): 289–299. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2983175
Steele F, Goldstein H and Browne W. (2004). A general multilevel multistate competing risks model for event history data, with an application to a study of contraceptive use dynamics. Statistical Modelling, 4(2): 145–159. http://dx.doi.org/10.1191/1471082X04st069oa
Taylor J E. (1999). The new economics of labour migration and the role of remittances in the migration process. International Migration, 37(1): 63–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1468-2435.00066
Taylor J E, Arango J, Hugo G, et al. (1996). International migration and community development. Population Index, 62(3): 397–418. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3645924
Vittinghoff E and McCulloch C E. (2007). Relaxing the rule of ten events per variable in logistic and Cox regression. American Journal of Epidemiology, 165(6): 710–718. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwk052
Wehner M, Easterling D R, Lawrimore J H, et al. (2011). Projections of Future Drought in the Continental United States and Mexico. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12(6): 1359–1377. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011JHM1351.1
Wiggins S, Keilbach N, Preibisch K, et al. (2002). Discussion - Agricultural policy reform and rural livelihoods in central Mexico. Journal of Development Studies, 38(4): 179–202. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00220380412331322461
Winters P, Davis B and Corral L. (2002). Assets, activities and income generation in rural Mexico: factoring in social and public capital. Agricultural Economics, 27(2): 139–156.
Woodruff C and Zenteno R. (2007). Migration networks and microenterprises in Mexico. Journal of Development Economics, 82(2): 509–528. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2006.03.06
Wu S Y. (2015). Changing characteristics of precipitation for the contiguous United States. Climatic Change, 132(4): 677–692. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1453-8
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18063/IJPS.2015.01.004
(2219 Abstract Views, 1830 PDF Downloads)
Refbacks
- There are currently no refbacks.
Copyright (c) 2015 Raphael J. Nawrotzki, Fernando Riosmena, Lori M. Hunter, Daniel M. Runfola
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.